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Start Christian Watson or DeVonta Smith? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 3:51 PM ET.

Start DeVonta Smith over Christian Watson

Smith projects lower, 13.5 to 15.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 34 for Smith, 58 for Watson.

Start

DeVonta Smith

WR · PHI · vs DAL

Market projects
13.5
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs WR
36.2
7th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
88 of 100 at WR
Snap share
86%
Through Week 6
Target share
33%
Through Week 6
Sit

Christian Watson

WR · GB · at DET

Market projects
15.2
fantasy pts
DET D vs WR
41.0
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 6
Target share
22%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Christian Watson for DeVonta Smith?

Not on these numbers alone. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games) and DeVonta Smith 143 (14.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts DeVonta Smith over Christian Watson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start DeVonta Smith over Christian Watson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have DeVonta Smith at 13.5 points and Christian Watson at 15.2, a gap of 1.7. DeVonta Smith still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 34 against 58, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for DeVonta Smith this week yet, so his 13.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (14.9 and 12.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.2 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 74 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (11, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for DeVonta Smith yet. His market-based projections were 14.9 and 12.2 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 13.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for DeVonta Smith is 0-1 touchdowns (11 market sources).

That puts Christian Watson 1.7 points ahead of DeVonta Smith on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Christian Watson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 41.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and a touchdown a game against DET.

DeVonta Smith and PHI host DAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

DAL allowed 36.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 169 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

DeVonta Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Christian Watson played 81 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith played 86 percent of PHI snaps, drew 33 percent of the targets, earned 49 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

DeVonta Smith, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

DeVonta Smith, Week 2 against TEN: 67 of 76 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 117 yards, 1 touchdown.

DeVonta Smith, Week 3 against CHI: 50 of 50 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 65 yards.

DeVonta Smith, Week 6 against CAR: 42 of 64 snaps, 14 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, DeVonta Smith played 17 games for PHI and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 715 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Christian Watson for DeVonta Smith?

    Not on these numbers alone. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games) and DeVonta Smith 143 (14.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts DeVonta Smith over Christian Watson.

  • Should I drop DeVonta Smith for Christian Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. DeVonta Smith projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games) and Christian Watson 143 (14.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts DeVonta Smith over Christian Watson.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board