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Start A.J. Brown or Christian Watson? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 6:11 AM ET.

Start A.J. Brown over Christian Watson

Brown projects lower, 14.5 to 15.1, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 17 for Brown, 58 for Watson.

WR · NE · at CHI · Questionable

See his rookie cards
Market projects
14.5
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
80 of 100 at WR
Snap share
60%
Through Week 6
Target share
23%
Through Week 6

WR · GB · at DET

Market projects
15.1
fantasy pts
DET D vs WR
41.0
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 6
Target share
22%
Through Week 6

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A.J. Brown rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start A.J. Brown over Christian Watson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 14.5 points and Christian Watson at 15.1, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. A.J. Brown still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 17 against 58, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.1 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 73 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (6, 7 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 69 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

That puts Christian Watson 0.6 points ahead of A.J. Brown on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Christian Watson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 41.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and a touchdown a game against DET.

A.J. Brown and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Christian Watson played 81 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown played 60 percent of NE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board