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Start Mike Evans or Christian Watson? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET.

Start

WR · GB · at DET

Market projects
15.2
fantasy pts
DET D vs WR
41.0
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 6
Target share
22%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · SF · at ATL · Out

Market projects
13.0
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs WR
37.0
6th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
55%
Through Week 6
Target share
23%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Mike Evans for Christian Watson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Mike Evans 69 (6.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian Watson over Mike Evans. Mike Evans is listed out.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Christian Watson over Mike Evans in Week 7.

Mike Evans is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Christian Watson. Drafters take Christian Watson at ADP 58 and Mike Evans at 56.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.2 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 74 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (11, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Mike Evans yet. His market-based projections were 9.8, 11.9 and 17.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Christian Watson 2.2 points ahead of Mike Evans on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Christian Watson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 41.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and a touchdown a game against DET.

Mike Evans and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 180 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Mike Evans is listed as out with a achilles injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Christian Watson played 81 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Through Week 6, Mike Evans played 55 percent of SF snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 42 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Evans, Week 3 against ARI: 18 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Mike Evans, Week 4 against DEN: 39 of 66 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 76 yards.

Mike Evans, Week 5 against SEA: 38 of 60 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 113 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Evans, Week 6 against WAS: 25 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 94 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Mike Evans for Christian Watson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Mike Evans 69 (6.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian Watson over Mike Evans. Mike Evans is listed out.

  • Should I drop Christian Watson for Mike Evans?

    No. Keep Christian Watson: he projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Mike Evans 69 (6.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian Watson over Mike Evans. Mike Evans is listed out.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board