Start Courtland Sutton or Xavier Worthy? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 3:51 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Courtland Sutton over Xavier Worthy

Sutton projects lower, 8.9 to 10.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 60 for Sutton, 109 for Worthy.

Start

Courtland Sutton

WR · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 8.9; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs WR: 34.9; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 60 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 78%; Through Week 6
Target share: 16%; Through Week 6

Sit

Xavier Worthy

WR · KC · at SEA

Market projects: 10.3; recent weeks avg
SEA D vs WR: 22.7; 2nd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 53 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 20%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Xavier Worthy?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Xavier Worthy projects 101 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 11 games), Courtland Sutton 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Xavier Worthy. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Courtland Sutton over Xavier Worthy in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Courtland Sutton at 8.9 points and Xavier Worthy at 10.3, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Courtland Sutton still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 60 against 109, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Courtland Sutton this week yet, so his 8.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (9.0, 9.4 and 8.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Xavier Worthy this week yet, so his 10.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (8.7 and 12.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Xavier Worthy yet. His market-based projections were 8.7 and 12.0 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 10.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Xavier Worthy is 0.4 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Courtland Sutton yet. His market-based projections were 9.0, 9.4 and 8.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 8.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Courtland Sutton is 0.4 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Xavier Worthy 1.4 points ahead of Courtland Sutton on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Xavier Worthy and KC visit SEA on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

SEA allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 101 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against SEA.

Courtland Sutton and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 34.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 153 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Courtland Sutton has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Xavier Worthy is not on the injury report.

Courtland Sutton is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Xavier Worthy played 81 percent of KC snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Worthy, Week 2 against IND: 69 of 80 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 25 yards, 1 touchdown.

Xavier Worthy, Week 3 against MIA: 43 of 52 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards.

Xavier Worthy, Week 4 against LV: 45 of 60 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 70 yards.

Xavier Worthy, Week 6 against LAC: 51 of 61 snaps, 7 targets and 7 catches for 73 yards.

Through Week 6, Courtland Sutton played 78 percent of DEN snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Courtland Sutton, Week 3 against LAR: 58 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 4 against SF: 48 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 5 against LAC: 50 of 62 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Courtland Sutton, Week 6 against SEA: 46 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Xavier Worthy played 14 games for KC and scored 109.9 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR59.

He caught 42 of 73 targets for 532 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 339 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Xavier Worthy?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Xavier Worthy projects 101 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 11 games), Courtland Sutton 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Xavier Worthy. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Xavier Worthy for Courtland Sutton?
No. Keep Xavier Worthy: he projects 101 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 11 games), Courtland Sutton 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Xavier Worthy.