Start Davante Adams or Luther Burden III? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Luther Burden III over Davante Adams

Davante Adams is listed out, so Luther Burden III starts despite the lower projection.

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 12.7; recent weeks avg
NE D vs WR: 31.4; 16th most to WRs (2026)

Sit

Davante Adams

WR · LAR · at LV · Out

Market projects: 14.2; recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR: 32.3; 13th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 76%; Through Week 6
Target share: 20%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Davante Adams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Davante Adams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Davante Adams. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Davante Adams is listed out.

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Davante Adams rookie cards Luther Burden III rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start Luther Burden III over Davante Adams in Week 7.

Davante Adams is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Luther Burden III. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Davante Adams at 42.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Davante Adams yet. His market-based projections were 14.1 and 14.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 14.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Luther Burden III yet. His market-based projections were 14.4 and 11.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 12.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Davante Adams 1.5 points ahead of Luther Burden III on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Davante Adams and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 32.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 167 yards and a touchdown a game against LV.

Luther Burden III and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 138 yards and a touchdown a game against NE.

By points allowed to the position, Davante Adams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Davante Adams is listed as out with a knee injury.

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Davante Adams played 76 percent of LAR snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Davante Adams, Week 3 against DEN: 71 of 86 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 137 yards.

Davante Adams, Week 4 against PHI: 80 of 84 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Davante Adams, Week 5 against BUF: 60 of 82 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 51 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Davante Adams, Week 6 against ARI: 4 targets and 3 catches for 39 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.

He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Davante Adams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Davante Adams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Davante Adams. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Davante Adams is listed out.
Should I drop Davante Adams for Luther Burden III?
No. Keep Davante Adams: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Davante Adams. Davante Adams is listed out.