Start David Montgomery or J.K. Dobbins? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 8:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start J.K. Dobbins over David Montgomery

David Montgomery is listed out, so J.K. Dobbins starts despite the lower projection.

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 8.9; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs RB: 20.4; 14th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 79 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 44%; Through Week 6
Target share: 5%; Through Week 6

Sit

David Montgomery

RB · HOU · vs NYG · Out

Market projects: 10.0; recent weeks avg
NYG D vs RB: 21.6; 15th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 46%; Through Week 5
Target share: 4%; Through Week 5

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for David Montgomery?

Yes, on the rest of the season. David Montgomery projects 108 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.8 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over David Montgomery. So make the move after his Week 7 game. David Montgomery is listed out.

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Our Week 7 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over David Montgomery in Week 7.

David Montgomery is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start J.K. Dobbins. Drafters take J.K. Dobbins at ADP 90 and David Montgomery at 52.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for David Montgomery yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for J.K. Dobbins yet. His market-based projections were 9.0, 8.7 and 9.1 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 8.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts David Montgomery 1.1 points ahead of J.K. Dobbins on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

David Montgomery and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 21.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 108 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against NYG and caught passes for 22 more yards.

J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 20.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, David Montgomery has the softer matchup.

Injury status

David Montgomery is listed as out with a groin injury.

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, David Montgomery played 46 percent of HOU snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 5 against TEN: 9 of 66 snaps, 5 carries for 11 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins played 44 percent of DEN snaps, took 57 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 3 against LAR: 33 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 49 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for David Montgomery?
Yes, on the rest of the season. David Montgomery projects 108 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.8 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over David Montgomery. So make the move after his Week 7 game. David Montgomery is listed out.
Should I drop David Montgomery for J.K. Dobbins?
No. Keep David Montgomery: he projects 108 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.8 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over David Montgomery. David Montgomery is listed out.