Start Keenan Allen or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 8:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Keenan Allen over Deebo Samuel Sr.

Start

Keenan Allen

WR · IND · at MIN

Market projects: 9.8; recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR: 27.1; 5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 71 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 62%; Through Week 6
Target share: 23%; Through Week 6

Sit

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · SF · at ATL · Out

Market projects: 9.2; recent weeks avg
ATL D vs WR: 37.0; 6th most to WRs (2026)

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Keenan Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Keenan Allen projects 86 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.6 a game over 10 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Keenan Allen over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Keenan Allen over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 7.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Keenan Allen. Drafters take Keenan Allen at ADP 142 and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 118.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Keenan Allen yet. His market-based projections were 10.6, 7.6 and 11.2 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 9.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Deebo Samuel Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 9.3 and 9.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Keenan Allen 0.6 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Keenan Allen and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 27.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN.

Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 180 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Keenan Allen is not on the injury report.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as out with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Keenan Allen played 62 percent of IND snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Keenan Allen, Week 2 against KC: 33 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 3 against HOU: 52 of 71 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keenan Allen, Week 5 against PIT: 32 of 71 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 45 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 6 against TEN: 59 of 83 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 82 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Keenan Allen?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Keenan Allen projects 86 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.6 a game over 10 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Keenan Allen over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.
Should I drop Keenan Allen for Deebo Samuel Sr.?
No. Keep Keenan Allen: he projects 86 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.6 a game over 10 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Keenan Allen over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.