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Start Efton Chism or Jalen Nailor? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 9:06 PM ET.

Start Jalen Nailor over Efton Chism III

Start

WR · LV · vs LAR

Market projects
5.1
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs WR
26.9
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at WR
Snap share
51%
Through Week 6
Target share
9%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · NE · at CHI

Market projects
4.9
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
21 of 100 at WR

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jalen Nailor over Efton Chism III in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jalen Nailor at 5.1 points and Efton Chism III at 4.9, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 5.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (4.3 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 4.3 and 5.9 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 5.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.9 fantasy points for Efton Chism III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 22 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (11, 11 and 13 market sources).

That puts Jalen Nailor 0.2 points ahead of Efton Chism III on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jalen Nailor and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 104 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against LAR.

Efton Chism III and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

By points allowed to the position, Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor played 51 percent of LV snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 2 against LAC: 38 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 3 against NO: 40 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

Efton Chism III, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board