Start Kayshon Boutte or Jalen Nailor? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Nailor projects lower, 5.1 to 5.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 174 for Nailor, 189 for Boutte.

Start

Jalen Nailor

WR · LV · vs LAR

Market projects: 5.1; recent weeks avg
LAR D vs WR: 26.9; 4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 17 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 51%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

Kayshon Boutte

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects: 5.4; recent weeks avg
NYG D vs WR: 31.1; 14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 40 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 58%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Kayshon Boutte?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kayshon Boutte projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 49 (4.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Kayshon Boutte. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jalen Nailor over Kayshon Boutte in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jalen Nailor at 5.1 points and Kayshon Boutte at 5.4, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Jalen Nailor still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 174 against 189, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 5.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (4.3 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Kayshon Boutte this week yet, so his 5.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.3, 6.1 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kayshon Boutte yet. His market-based projections were 4.3, 6.1 and 5.8 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 4.3 and 5.9 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 5.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts Kayshon Boutte 0.3 points ahead of Jalen Nailor on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Kayshon Boutte and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

Jalen Nailor and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 104 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against LAR.

By points allowed to the position, Kayshon Boutte has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kayshon Boutte is not on the injury report.

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Kayshon Boutte played 58 percent of HOU snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Kayshon Boutte, Week 3 against IND: 37 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards.

Kayshon Boutte, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards.

Kayshon Boutte, Week 5 against TEN: 39 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards.

Kayshon Boutte, Week 6 against JAX: 26 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards.

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor played 51 percent of LV snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 2 against LAC: 38 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 3 against NO: 40 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kayshon Boutte played 14 games for NE and scored 124.1 PPR points, 8.9 a game, finishing WR51.

He caught 33 of 46 targets for 551 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 513 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Kayshon Boutte?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kayshon Boutte projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 49 (4.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Kayshon Boutte. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Kayshon Boutte for Jalen Nailor?
No. Keep Kayshon Boutte: he projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 49 (4.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Kayshon Boutte.