Start Emeka Egbuka or Jaylin Noel? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 5:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Emeka Egbuka over Jaylin Noel

Start

Emeka Egbuka

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 8.2; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 73 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 86%; Through Week 6
Target share: 26%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jaylin Noel

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects: 5.7; recent weeks avg
NYG D vs WR: 31.1; 14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 65 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 46%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jaylin Noel for Emeka Egbuka?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Emeka Egbuka projects 89 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.9 a game over 10 games), Jaylin Noel 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Emeka Egbuka over Jaylin Noel.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Emeka Egbuka over Jaylin Noel in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Emeka Egbuka at 8.2 points and Jaylin Noel at 5.7, a gap of 2.5. No player market is posted for Emeka Egbuka this week yet, so his 8.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.9, 8.9 and 8.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jaylin Noel this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (8.1, 4.6 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Emeka Egbuka yet. His market-based projections were 6.9, 8.9 and 8.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 8.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Emeka Egbuka is 0.4 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jaylin Noel yet. His market-based projections were 8.1, 4.6 and 4.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Emeka Egbuka 2.5 points ahead of Jaylin Noel on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Emeka Egbuka and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Jaylin Noel and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylin Noel has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Emeka Egbuka is not on the injury report.

Jaylin Noel is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Emeka Egbuka played 86 percent of TB snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 3 against MIN: 51 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 62 yards.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 4 against GB: 59 of 64 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 5 against DAL: 64 of 72 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 9 targets and 6 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 6 against PIT: 64 of 74 snaps, 16 targets and 7 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel played 46 percent of HOU snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylin Noel, Week 3 against IND: 14 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 8 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 5 against TEN: 30 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylin Noel, Week 6 against JAX: 31 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Emeka Egbuka played 17 games for TB and scored 195.7 PPR points, 11.5 a game, finishing WR23.

He caught 63 of 127 targets for 938 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 603 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jaylin Noel played 17 games for HOU and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 193 air yards.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jaylin Noel for Emeka Egbuka?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Emeka Egbuka projects 89 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.9 a game over 10 games), Jaylin Noel 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Emeka Egbuka over Jaylin Noel.
Should I drop Emeka Egbuka for Jaylin Noel?
No. Keep Emeka Egbuka: he projects 89 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.9 a game over 10 games), Jaylin Noel 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Emeka Egbuka over Jaylin Noel.