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Start Jaylin Noel or Jalen Nailor? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:41 PM ET.

Start

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
NYG D vs WR
31.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at WR
Snap share
46%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · LV · vs LAR

Market projects
5.1
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs WR
26.9
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at WR
Snap share
51%
Through Week 6
Target share
9%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylin Noel over Jalen Nailor in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylin Noel at 5.7 points and Jalen Nailor at 5.1, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jaylin Noel this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (8.1, 4.6 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 5.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (4.3 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jaylin Noel yet. His market-based projections were 8.1, 4.6 and 4.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 4.3 and 5.9 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 5.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts Jaylin Noel 0.6 points ahead of Jalen Nailor on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylin Noel and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

Jalen Nailor and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 104 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against LAR.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylin Noel has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylin Noel is not on the injury report.

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel played 46 percent of HOU snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylin Noel, Week 3 against IND: 14 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 8 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 5 against TEN: 30 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylin Noel, Week 6 against JAX: 31 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor played 51 percent of LV snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 2 against LAC: 38 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 3 against NO: 40 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylin Noel played 17 games for HOU and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 193 air yards.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board