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Start Luther Burden III or Jaylen Waddle? Week 6

Updated Oct 18, 7:31 AM ET.

Start Luther Burden III over Jaylen Waddle

Market projects
11.9
fantasy pts
Sit

Jaylen Waddle

WR · DEN · vs SEA · final

Market projected
10.8
pre-game
SEA D vs WR
24.3
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 5
Target share
21%
Through Week 5
Scored
6.4
PPR pts

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Luther Burden III over Jaylen Waddle in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 11.9 points and Jaylen Waddle at 10.8, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.9 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 51 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (13, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.8 fantasy points for Jaylen Waddle, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Waddle is 47 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Luther Burden III 1.1 points ahead of Jaylen Waddle on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Jaylen Waddle and DEN host SEA on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

SEA allowed 24.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 109 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against SEA.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Jaylen Waddle is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Jaylen Waddle played 68 percent of DEN snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 2 against JAX: 38 of 62 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 3 against LAR: 49 of 67 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 7 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 4 against SF: 45 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 5 against LAC: 40 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 9 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Waddle played 16 games for MIA and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 682 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR18 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Overall rank
45
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
12

Ranked behind

WR27 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Overall rank
73
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
14

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board28
  • Draft positionno current draft data for both
  • Tierstier 12 and tier 14
  • Board size326 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board