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Zay Flowers or Luther Burden III: Week 6 result

Updated Oct 18, 7:41 PM ET.

Start Zay Flowers over Luther Burden III

Wrong: 12.7 to 17.5
Start

Zay Flowers

WR · BAL · at CLE · final

Market projected
13.4
pre-game
CLE D vs WR
36.0
10th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
55%
Through Week 5
Target share
30%
Through Week 5
Scored
12.7
PPR pts
Sit

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · at ATL · final

Market projected
12.6
pre-game
ATL D vs WR
37.7
6th most to WRs (2026)
Scored
17.5
PPR pts

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Zay Flowers over Luther Burden III in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Zay Flowers at 13.4 points and Luther Burden III at 12.6, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Zay Flowers at ADP 24 and Luther Burden III at 51.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.5 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 59 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (9, 12 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 6 rushing yards, 52 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (6, 13, 12 and 14 market sources).

That puts Zay Flowers 0.8 points ahead of Luther Burden III on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Zay Flowers and BAL visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 36.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 165 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CLE.

Luther Burden III and CHI visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 181 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Zay Flowers played 55 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 1 against IND: 20 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 150 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 20 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 84 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 4 against TEN: 47 of 64 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 118 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 5 against ATL: 62 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

How Week 6 went

Zay Flowers scored 12.7 PPR points and Luther Burden III scored 17.5.

The call was wrong: Luther Burden III outscored Zay Flowers by 4.8.

Zay Flowers finished 0.8 points below the 13.5 the market projected.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards, 12.7 PPR points.

Zay Flowers finished as the week's WR22 in PPR scoring.

Luther Burden III finished 4.9 points above the 12.6 the market projected.

Luther Burden III, Week 6 against ATL: 8 targets and 8 catches for 95 yards, 17.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III finished as the week's WR12 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR17 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Overall rank
42
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
9

Ranked behind

WR18 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Overall rank
50
Draft pick
no draft data
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Draft positionno current draft data for both
  • Tierstier 9 and tier 10
  • Board size330 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board