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Trade Amon-Ra St. Brown for Kyren Williams? No, Brown is worth 34 more.

No on value. Amon-Ra St. Brown is worth 120 rest of season and Kyren Williams 86, so giving up Brown costs 34. Brown rates 20.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Williams 17.0 with 10. On usage, Brown has drawn 30 percent of DET targets; Williams has 56 percent of LAR carries and 16 percent of its targets. Brown hosts GB in Week 7 (13th most points allowed to WRs); Williams is at LV in Week 7 (7th most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Amon-Ra St. Brown wins by 34.

Amon-Ra St. Brown 12086 Kyren Williams

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR2DET

120

value, #6

Pts/game
20.1
Games left
11
Bye
6
Amon-Ra St. Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
19.918.720.4no projection20.4

Kyren Williams

RB7LAR

86

value, #12

Pts/game
17.0
Games left
10
Bye
11
Kyren Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
13.314.317.417.917.0

Where the values come from

Brown is the 2nd receiver on the chart and 6th overall. His 20.1 a game is 10.9 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 120.

Williams is the 7th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 17.0 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 86.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Amon-Ra St. Brown at 19.9 in Week 3, 18.7 in Week 4, 20.4 in Week 5 and 20.4 in Week 7, a median of 20.1 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Kyren Williams at 13.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 17.4 in Week 5, 17.9 in Week 6 and 17.0 in Week 7, a median of 17.0 points a game, up 3.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored 104.2 PPR points in 5 games, 20.8 a game, 0.7 a game more than the 20.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR3 with 324.0 PPR points in 17 games, 19.1 a game.

Week 1 vs NO: 28.7 points (WR4 that week), 10 of 14 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs BUF: 35.2 points (WR4 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs NYJ: 11.9 points (WR36 that week), 4 of 8 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CAR: 15.5 points (WR20 that week), 8 of 11 targets for 75 yards, 96 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ARI: 12.9 points (WR23 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 69 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Kyren Williams has scored 119.0 PPR points in 6 games, 19.8 a game, 2.8 a game more than the 17.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB9 with 263.3 PPR points in 17 games, 15.5 a game.

Week 1 vs SF: 15.5 points (RB15 that week), 41 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYG: 15.7 points (RB8 that week), 85 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 1 touchdown, 55 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DEN: 21.8 points (RB5 that week), 88 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs PHI: 36.7 points (RB1 that week), 80 rushing yards on 16 carries, 10 of 13 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs BUF: 19.6 points (RB6 that week), 49 rushing yards on 16 carries, 6 of 8 targets for 27 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ARI: 9.7 points (RB24 that week), 50 rushing yards on 10 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 17 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 11.4 targets and 7.4 catches for 74 yards a game on 88 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 16 times inside the 20, 22 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against ARI he had 11 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Kyren Williams has averaged 13.3 carries for 66 yards and 6-7 targets and 5.0 catches for 36 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 39 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against ARI he had 10 carries and 6 targets on 72 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Amon-Ra St. Brown has 11 games in it with no bye left; Kyren Williams has 10 games with his bye in Week 11.

GB, Brown's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 33.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 13th most to WRs of 32.

LV, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 23.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 7th most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Kyren Williams would want about 34 more added to make it even: a player like Matthew Golden, valued at 34. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Matthew Golden's player page

Other trades for Amon-Ra St. Brown and Kyren Williams

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Amon-Ra St. Brown for Kyren Williams?

    No on value: Amon-Ra St. Brown is worth 120 and Kyren Williams 86, a loss of 34. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Amon-Ra St. Brown or Kyren Williams?

    Amon-Ra St. Brown, 120 to 86. He rates 20.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.0 over 10 for Kyren Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number