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Trade Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce? Close to even, 26 to 32.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Dalton Kincaid is 26 and Travis Kelce is 32, a 6 point edge to Kelce that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Kincaid rates 12.0 market points a game with 10 games left, Kelce 12.3 with 11. On usage, Kincaid has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets; Kelce has drawn 18 percent of KC targets. Kincaid is on bye in Week 7; Kelce is at SEA in Week 7 (3rd fewest points allowed to TEs). Dalton Kincaid is listed Questionable (ribs); Travis Kelce is listed Questionable (ankle).

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

Dalton Kincaid 2632 Travis Kelce

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Dalton Kincaid

TE6BUFQuestionable

26

value, #49

Pts/game
12.0
Games left
10
Bye
7
Dalton Kincaid weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.312.311.711.7no projection

Travis Kelce

TE4KCQuestionable

32

value, #46

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
11
Bye
5
Travis Kelce weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.611.9no projection12.710.8

Where the values come from

Kincaid is the 6th tight end on the chart and 49th overall. His 12.0 a game is 2.6 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 26.

Kelce is the 4th tight end on the chart and 46th overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.9 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 32.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Dalton Kincaid at 12.3 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4, 11.7 in Week 5 and 11.7 in Week 6, a median of 12.0 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3, 11.9 in Week 4, 12.7 in Week 6 and 10.8 in Week 7, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 1.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Dalton Kincaid has scored 60.5 PPR points in 6 games, 10.1 a game, 1.9 a game less than the 12.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE20 with 126.1 PPR points in 12 games, 10.5 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 18.0 points (TE5 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 22.5 points (TE3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 3.8 points (TE37 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 1.7 points (TE52 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 59 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 3.7 points (TE38 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 10.8 points (TE16 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Travis Kelce has scored 61.9 PPR points in 5 games, 12.4 a game, level with the 12.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 9.3 points (TE18 that week), 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 4.8 targets and 3.8 catches for 53 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LV he had 8 targets on 72 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.4 targets and 4.0 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 6 against LAC he had 5 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Dalton Kincaid has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Travis Kelce has 11 games with no bye left.

SEA, Kelce's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 9.1 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to TEs of 32.

Other trades for Dalton Kincaid and Travis Kelce

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce?

    It is close to even: Dalton Kincaid is 26 and Travis Kelce is 32 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Dalton Kincaid or Travis Kelce?

    Travis Kelce, 32 to 26. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 12.0 over 10 for Dalton Kincaid, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number