Matthew Stafford or Aaron Rodgers: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Matthew Stafford at 15.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 44th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

The player markets price Aaron Rodgers at 13.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 books. That is the 53rd highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Stafford: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 127th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 17.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Aaron Rodgers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 138th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 119.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 92 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 57 times and thrown 10.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 57 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against SF he completed 15 of 25 passes for 155 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

In Week 2 against NYG he completed 22 of 30 passes for 327 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 2, Aaron Rodgers has been on the field for 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 86 times and thrown 7.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 12 of 86 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against ATL he completed 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 2 against NE he completed 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Rodgers played 16 games and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He threw for 3322 yards on 498 attempts with 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.1 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Aaron Rodgers 14.6, 6.5 a game between them.

Matthew Stafford finished QB3 that year and Aaron Rodgers QB18.

Matthew Stafford had 99 more pass attempts than Aaron Rodgers, 597 to 498.

Matthew Stafford had 1385 more passing yards than Aaron Rodgers, 4707 to 3322.

This season Aaron Rodgers holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 92 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Matthew Stafford is off in Week 11 and Aaron Rodgers in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.3 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.