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Start Aaron Rodgers or Matthew Stafford? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 10:11 AM ET.

Start Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers

Stafford projects lower, 15.9 to 16.5, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 75 for Stafford, 231 for Rodgers.

Start

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at ARI

Market projects
15.9
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB
22.4
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
80 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9
Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
43 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Aaron Rodgers?

Not on these numbers alone. Matthew Stafford projects 111 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 7 games) and Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 15.9 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.5, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Matthew Stafford still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 75 against 231, and that outweighs a gap this size. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Matthew Stafford this week yet, so his 15.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.5, 15.7 and 15.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Matthew Stafford yet. His market-based projections were 16.5, 15.7 and 15.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Aaron Rodgers 0.6 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 9, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 360 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 7 against LV: 72 of 72 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Matthew Stafford, Week 8 against LAC: 54 of 54 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Matthew Stafford, Week 9 against WAS: 75 of 75 snaps, 26 of 42 passes for 228 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Aaron Rodgers?

    Not on these numbers alone. Matthew Stafford projects 111 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 7 games) and Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers.

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Matthew Stafford?

    Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 8 games) and Matthew Stafford 111 (15.9 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Aaron Rodgers.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board