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Start Aaron Rodgers or Sam Darnold? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 8:56 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks' Quenton Nelson, Sam Darnold among starters ruled out (ESPN)

Start Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold is listed out, so Aaron Rodgers starts despite the lower projection.

Start

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
15.0
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8
Sit

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · at LV · Out

Market projects
15.4
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
20.6
5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Sam Darnold for Aaron Rodgers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold in Week 10.

Sam Darnold is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Aaron Rodgers. Drafters take Aaron Rodgers at ADP 231 and Sam Darnold at 155.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Sam Darnold yet. His market-based projections were 15.1 and 15.8 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 15.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 15.0 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 240 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (15, 16, 6 and 14 market sources).

That puts Sam Darnold 0.4 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Sam Darnold and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 251 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Sam Darnold has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Sam Darnold is listed as out with a quadriceps injury.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Sam Darnold played 90 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 235 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Sam Darnold, Week 5 against SF: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 6 against DEN: 85 of 85 snaps, 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 19 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 7 against KC: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 8 against CHI: 63 of 63 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Sam Darnold for Aaron Rodgers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Rodgers projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Sam Darnold?

    No. Keep Aaron Rodgers: he projects 116 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 8 games), Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board