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Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Caleb Douglas in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Start Caleb Douglas: 76 percent of the snaps and 24 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Adonai Mitchell's 65 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR40 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
10.4 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
103

WR41 · MIA · bye 6

Market-based projection
9.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
104

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Adonai Mitchell, and the board ranks him 103rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 104th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 2.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 2.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Adonai Mitchell's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 70 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 17.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against MIA he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LV he caught 7 of 9 targets for 142 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against KC he caught 0 of 7 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 81 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DET he caught 6 of 8 targets for 70 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 70 percent.

This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Adonai Mitchell is off in Week 13 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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