Should I start Caleb Douglas or Keenan Allen in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keenan Allen, and the board ranks him 160th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 8.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 89th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Keenan Allen is 2.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Keenan Allen's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Keenan Allen has been on the field for 59 percent of IND snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 54 third down targets, had 1 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 50 targets have averaged 7.3 air yards.

In Week 6 against TEN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 82 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 31 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 7 of 7 targets for 67 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Keenan Allen played 17 games and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 59 percent.

This season Keenan Allen holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 19 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6 and Keenan Allen in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Keenan Allen has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.