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Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Efton Chism III in Week 8?

Updated Oct 28, 11:26 PM ET.

Start Adonai Mitchell: 67 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Efton Chism III's 63 percent of the snaps and 3 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR48 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Market-based projection
5.2 pts a game

WR50 · NE · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Overall rank
148

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Adonai Mitchell, and the board ranks him 143rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 148th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Adonai Mitchell's market-based projection is 5.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 125th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 5.0 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 12 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Efton Chism III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 67 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have averaged 14.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against GB he caught 6 of 12 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIA he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 63 percent of NE snaps, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 1 target have averaged 3.0 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 1 of 1 target for 16 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Adonai Mitchell was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell scored 5.5 PPR points a game and Efton Chism III 2.1, 3.4 a game between them.

Adonai Mitchell had 71 more targets than Efton Chism III, 74 to 3.

Adonai Mitchell had 378 more receiving yards than Efton Chism III, 453 to 75.

This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger snap share, 67 percent against 63 percent.

This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 3 percent.

Byes and availability

Adonai Mitchell is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Efton Chism III.

What would change the answer

Efton Chism III has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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