Should I start AJ Barner or Dalton Kincaid in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 110th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for AJ Barner is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

AJ Barner's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, AJ Barner has been on the field for 88 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 70 third down targets, had 3 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 2.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against KC he carried 3 times for 4 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 42 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CHI he caught 2 of 5 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 10.1 air yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid scored 10.5 PPR points a game and AJ Barner 8.7, 1.8 a game between them.

AJ Barner finished TE14 that year and Dalton Kincaid TE20.

AJ Barner had 19 more targets than Dalton Kincaid, 68 to 49.

Dalton Kincaid had 52 more receiving yards than AJ Barner, 571 to 519.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 88 percent against 66 percent.

This season Dalton Kincaid holds the bigger target share, 18 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

AJ Barner is off in Week 11 and Dalton Kincaid in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.