Should I start Drew Lock or AJ Barner in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Drew Lock's market-based projection is 15.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 40th highest figure of the 226 players with a market-based projection.

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 7.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 112th highest figure of the 226 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 124th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 2, Drew Lock has been on the field for 96 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 51 times and thrown 7.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 51 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 8, AJ Barner has been on the field for 89 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 70 third down targets, had 3 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 2.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against KC he carried 3 times for 4 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 42 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CHI he caught 2 of 5 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 12 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 AJ Barner scored 8.7 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 8.6 a game between them.

Drew Lock finished QB73 and AJ Barner TE14, which are two different ladders.

Drew Lock is a quarterback and AJ Barner a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

8.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.