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Should I start AJ Barner or Noah Gray in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:11 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start AJ Barner over Noah Gray

Start

TE · SEA · vs KC

Market projects
6.8
fantasy pts
KC D vs TE
20.0
3rd most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
73 of 100 at TE
Snap share
90%
Through Week 6
Target share
13%
Through Week 6
Sit

TE · KC · at SEA

Market projects
3.6
recent weeks avg
SEA D vs TE
9.1
3rd fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Limited
19 of 100 at TE
Snap share
59%
Through Week 6
Target share
7%
Through Week 6
Start Barner or Gray? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start AJ Barner: 93 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Noah Gray's 65 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE8 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

TE · KC · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Overall rank
not on the board

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 45th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Our board does not carry Noah Gray at all right now: live drafts have stopped taking him and there is no player market on him this week, so he has no rank, no tier and no ADP here.

The market-based projections

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 181 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Noah Gray, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, AJ Barner has been on the field for 90 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 3 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 2.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Noah Gray has been on the field for 59 percent of KC snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 6.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against MIA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 39 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against LV he caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAC he caught 3 of 3 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Noah Gray played 16 games and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 2.3 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 AJ Barner scored 8.7 PPR points a game and Noah Gray 2.4, 6.2 a game between them.

AJ Barner finished TE14 that year and Noah Gray TE59.

AJ Barner had 31 more targets than Noah Gray, 68 to 37.

AJ Barner had 341 more receiving yards than Noah Gray, 519 to 178.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 59 percent.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger target share, 13 percent against 7 percent.

Byes and availability

AJ Barner is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Noah Gray.

What would change the answer

Noah Gray has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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