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Should I start A.J. Brown or Brock Purdy in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 9:16 AM ET.

Start Brock Purdy: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against A.J. Brown's 44 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR8 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
14.6 pts a game

QB1 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
23.0 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
16

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The gap

  • Board size298 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 15th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brock Purdy, and the board ranks him 16th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 17th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Brock Purdy, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season so far

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Brock Purdy has been on the field for 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 156 times and thrown 7.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 20 of 156 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.

In Week 3 against ARI he completed 15 of 27 passes for 297 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 35 yards.

In Week 4 against DEN he completed 19 of 29 passes for 218 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 8 times for 31 yards.

In Week 5 against SEA he completed 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brock Purdy played 9 games and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He threw for 2167 yards on 284 attempts with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 31.6 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown was available for 6 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brock Purdy scored 20.8 PPR points a game and A.J. Brown 14.7, 6.1 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 and Brock Purdy QB24, which are two different ladders.

A.J. Brown is a wide receiver and Brock Purdy a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Brock Purdy in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Brock Purdy has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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