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Should I start A.J. Brown or Chase Brown in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:36 PM ET.

Start Chase Brown: 70 percent of the snaps and 56 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against A.J. Brown's 60 percent of the snaps and 23 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Chase Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), A.J. Brown 95 (9.5 a game over 10 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR9 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
15.6 pts a game

RB13 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-3

Overall rank
22

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 21st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 29th highest figure of the 196 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Chase Brown is 14.3 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 9 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chase Brown's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 60 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Chase Brown has been on the field for 70 percent of CIN snaps, taken 65 percent of the carries, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 4 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have come 0.9 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against PIT he carried 13 times for 61 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against JAX he carried 9 times for 10 yards, caught 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIA he carried 13 times for 39 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chase Brown was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and A.J. Brown 14.7, 1.9 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 and Chase Brown RB7, which are two different ladders.

A.J. Brown is a wide receiver and Chase Brown a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Chase Brown in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Chase Brown has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for Chase Brown?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), A.J. Brown 95 (9.5 a game over 10 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Chase Brown for A.J. Brown?

    No. Keep Chase Brown: he projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), A.J. Brown 95 (9.5 a game over 10 games). A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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