Should I start Christian Watson or A.J. Brown in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Christian Watson's market-based projection is 15.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 18th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Watson, and the board ranks him 15th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 17th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Christian Watson has been on the field for 81 percent of GB snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 3 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 13.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against TB he caught 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against DAL he caught 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 60 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 18 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Christian Watson 13.2, 1.4 a game between them.

Christian Watson finished WR46 that year and A.J. Brown WR11.

A.J. Brown had 66 more targets than Christian Watson, 121 to 55.

A.J. Brown had 392 more receiving yards than Christian Watson, 1003 to 611.

This season Christian Watson holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 60 percent.

This season A.J. Brown holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.