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Should I start D'Andre Swift or A.J. Brown in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 6:11 AM ET.

Start D'Andre Swift: his market-based projection is 2.2 points a game ahead of A.J. Brown's this season.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB5 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 5-1

Market-based projection
16.3 pts a game

WR5 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
14.1 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference2.2 points a game
  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

D'Andre Swift's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 8th highest figure of the 160 players with a market-based projection.

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 14.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 13th highest figure of the 160 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on D'Andre Swift, and the board ranks him 10th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In standard drafts he goes at ADP 13.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, D'Andre Swift has been on the field for 56 percent of CHI snaps, taken 45 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 13 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have come 1.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 15 times for 58 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 9 times for 43 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 30 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against ATL he carried 16 times for 44 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 26 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 D'Andre Swift played 16 games and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.

He carried 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.9 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

D'Andre Swift was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and D'Andre Swift 14.3, 0.4 a game between them.

D'Andre Swift finished RB15 and A.J. Brown WR11, which are two different ladders.

D'Andre Swift is a running back and A.J. Brown a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

D'Andre Swift is off in Week 10 and A.J. Brown in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

2.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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