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Should I start A.J. Brown or Tyler Warren in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 6:16 AM ET.

Start Tyler Warren: 91 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against A.J. Brown's 44 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR5 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
14.1 pts a game

TE2 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-2

Market-based projection
13.2 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
12

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Warren, and the board ranks him 12th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 14.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 13th highest figure of the 160 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Tyler Warren, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season so far

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 91 percent of IND snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 2 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 36 targets have averaged 4.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against HOU he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Warren was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Tyler Warren 11.1, 3.6 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 and Tyler Warren TE4, which are two different ladders.

A.J. Brown is a wide receiver and Tyler Warren a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Tyler Warren in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Tyler Warren is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Tyler Warren has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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