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Should I start Michael Wilson or A.J. Brown in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Michael Wilson: Listed Questionable (Ribs, Fracture) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : A.J. Brown: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Patriots WR A.J. Brown (ankle, knee) listed as questionable (ESPN)

Week 9 verdict

Start Michael Wilson over A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown is listed out, so Michael Wilson starts despite the lower projection.

Start

WR · ARI · at SEA · Questionable

Market projects
12.7
recent weeks avg
SEA D vs WR
20.9
fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Through Week 8
Target share
26%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · NE · vs GB · Out

Market projects
13.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
35.7
9th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 7
Target share
22%
Through Week 7
Start Wilson or Brown? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Michael Wilson: 88 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against A.J. Brown's 68 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Michael Wilson for A.J. Brown?

Not on these numbers alone. Michael Wilson projects 97 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.1 a game over 8 games) and A.J. Brown 100 (12.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Michael Wilson over A.J. Brown. Michael Wilson is listed questionable. A.J. Brown is listed out.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR8 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
13.1 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
25

WR33 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
11.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
83

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Wilson, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Michael Wilson, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

The market has A.J. Brown at 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 22 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 9 of its 29 chances inside the five and seen 22 of its 57 two minute targets.

His 81 targets have averaged 11.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against LAR he caught 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 2 times for 11 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DAL he carried 1 time for 17 yards, caught 8 of 15 targets for 111 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 68 percent of NE snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 7 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Michael Wilson 13.0, 1.7 a game between them.

Michael Wilson finished WR10 that year and A.J. Brown WR11.

Michael Wilson had 5 more targets than A.J. Brown, 126 to 121.

Michael Wilson had 3 more receiving yards than A.J. Brown, 1006 to 1003.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 68 percent.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Michael Wilson is off in Week 14 and A.J. Brown in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Michael Wilson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

A.J. Brown is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Michael Wilson for A.J. Brown?

    Not on these numbers alone. Michael Wilson projects 97 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.1 a game over 8 games) and A.J. Brown 100 (12.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Michael Wilson over A.J. Brown. Michael Wilson is listed questionable. A.J. Brown is listed out.

  • Should I drop A.J. Brown for Michael Wilson?

    Not on these numbers alone. A.J. Brown projects 100 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.5 a game over 8 games) and Michael Wilson 97 (12.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Michael Wilson over A.J. Brown. A.J. Brown is listed out. Michael Wilson is listed questionable.

Should I drop Michael Wilson?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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