Should I start A.J. Brown or Tee Higgins in Week 7?

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Tee Higgins's market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 20th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tee Higgins, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 60 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Tee Higgins has been on the field for 77 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 43 targets have averaged 13.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against PIT he caught 6 of 7 targets for 90 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against JAX he caught 11 of 16 targets for 157 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIA he caught 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tee Higgins played 15 games and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 14.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 15 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Tee Higgins 14.1, 0.6 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and Tee Higgins WR15.

A.J. Brown had 23 more targets than Tee Higgins, 121 to 98.

A.J. Brown had 157 more receiving yards than Tee Higgins, 1003 to 846.

This season Tee Higgins holds the bigger snap share, 77 percent against 60 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 23 percent each.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Tee Higgins in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.