Start A.J. Brown or Tee Higgins? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 7:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start A.J. Brown over Tee Higgins

Start

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · at CHI · Questionable

Market projects: 15.4; fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR: 31.5; 15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 80 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 60%; Through Week 6
Target share: 23%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tee Higgins

WR · CIN · at BAL

Market projects: 13.9; fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR: 34.1; 11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 79 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 77%; Through Week 5
Target share: 23%; Through Week 5

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Tee Higgins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tee Higgins projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.0 a game over 11 games), A.J. Brown 94 (9.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts A.J. Brown over Tee Higgins, 15.4 to 13.9 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start A.J. Brown over Tee Higgins in Week 7.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 15.4 points and Tee Higgins at 13.9, a gap of 1.5. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 17 and Tee Higgins at 37.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 70 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.9 fantasy points for Tee Higgins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tee Higgins is 66 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (8, 6 and 10 market sources).

That puts A.J. Brown 1.5 points ahead of Tee Higgins on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Tee Higgins and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 34.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against BAL.

By points allowed to the position, Tee Higgins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Tee Higgins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown played 60 percent of NE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 5, Tee Higgins played 77 percent of CIN snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 42 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tee Higgins, Week 2 against HOU: 43 of 60 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 95 yards.

Tee Higgins, Week 3 against PIT: 53 of 57 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tee Higgins, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 16 targets and 11 catches for 157 yards.

Tee Higgins, Week 5 against MIA: 45 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Tee Higgins played 15 games for CIN and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 680 air yards.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Tee Higgins?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tee Higgins projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.0 a game over 11 games), A.J. Brown 94 (9.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts A.J. Brown over Tee Higgins, 15.4 to 13.9 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.
Should I drop Tee Higgins for A.J. Brown?
No. Keep Tee Higgins: he projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.0 a game over 11 games), A.J. Brown 94 (9.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts A.J. Brown over Tee Higgins, 15.4 to 13.9 projected PPR points. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.