Should I start Tee Higgins or Christian Watson in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Tee Higgins's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 8th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

Christian Watson's market-based projection is 14.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 14th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tee Higgins, and the board ranks him 16th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Watson, and the board ranks him 20th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Tee Higgins has been on the field for 78 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 61 targets have averaged 13.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against MIA he caught 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against BAL he caught 6 of 7 targets for 148 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against TEN he caught 10 of 11 targets for 155 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 8, Christian Watson has been on the field for 77 percent of GB snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 21 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 3 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 66 targets have averaged 13.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against DAL he caught 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DET he caught 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CAR he caught 8 of 10 targets for 113 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tee Higgins played 15 games and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 14.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 18 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tee Higgins was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tee Higgins scored 14.1 PPR points a game and Christian Watson 13.2, 0.9 a game between them.

Tee Higgins finished WR15 that year and Christian Watson WR46.

Tee Higgins had 43 more targets than Christian Watson, 98 to 55.

Tee Higgins had 235 more receiving yards than Christian Watson, 846 to 611.

This season Tee Higgins holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 77 percent.

This season Tee Higgins holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Tee Higgins is off in Week 6 and Christian Watson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Christian Watson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.