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Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or AJ Dillon in Week 7?

Updated Oct 24, 1:01 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects
3.6
fantasy pts
DET D vs RB
18.7
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
40 of 100 at RB
Snap share
39%
Through Week 6
Target share
6%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects
2.8
fantasy pts
TB D vs RB
17.0
3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
12%
Through Week 4
Target share
1%
Through Week 4
Start Lloyd or Dillon? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start MarShawn Lloyd: 46 percent of the snaps and 36 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against AJ Dillon's 12 percent of the snaps and 17 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB48 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Overall rank
166

RB51 · CAR · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
181

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The gap

  • Board size332 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on MarShawn Lloyd, and the board ranks him 166th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Dillon, and the board ranks him 181st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 3.7 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for AJ Dillon is 2.9 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 12 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

MarShawn Lloyd's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd has been on the field for 39 percent of GB snaps, taken 41 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 3 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 7 times for 13 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 10 times for 31 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 8 times for 10 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon has been on the field for 12 percent of CAR snaps, taken 18 percent of the carries, drawn 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against ATL he carried 3 times for -3 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against CLE he carried 4 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for -2 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he carried 5 times for 2 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

The season feed carries no line for MarShawn Lloyd in the last completed season.

In 2025 AJ Dillon played 7 games and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He carried 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 more yards.

That came to 1.7 carries a game at 5.0 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season MarShawn Lloyd holds the bigger snap share, 39 percent against 12 percent.

This season MarShawn Lloyd holds the bigger share of the carries, 41 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

MarShawn Lloyd is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for AJ Dillon.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd?

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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