Start MarShawn Lloyd or AJ Dillon? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start MarShawn Lloyd over AJ Dillon in Week 7.

Market-based projections have MarShawn Lloyd at 3.6 points and AJ Dillon at 2.9, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on MarShawn Lloyd is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.6 fantasy points for MarShawn Lloyd, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 10 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (8 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 2.9 fantasy points for AJ Dillon, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for AJ Dillon is 13 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (7 and 11 market sources).

That puts MarShawn Lloyd 0.6 points ahead of AJ Dillon on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

AJ Dillon and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, MarShawn Lloyd has the softer matchup.

Injury status

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

AJ Dillon is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd played 39 percent of GB snaps, took 41 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 3 against ATL: 15 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 11 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 4 against TB: 33 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start Alvin Kamara over MarShawn Lloyd.
• Start Blake Corum over MarShawn Lloyd.
• Start Braelon Allen over MarShawn Lloyd.
• Start CJ Donaldson over AJ Dillon.
• Start Devin Singletary over AJ Dillon.
• Start Isaiah Davis over AJ Dillon.