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Should I start Kaelon Black or Alvin Kamara in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 9:26 PM ET.

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  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Alvin Kamara: 43 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Kaelon Black's 31 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Kaelon Black for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.3 a game over 8 games).

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Kaelon Black

RB19 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
54

Alvin Kamara

RB45 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 3-4

Market-based projection
12.0 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
150

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The gap

  • Board size310 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 54th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Alvin Kamara, and the board ranks him 150th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 7.8 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kaelon Black's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Alvin Kamara has been on the field for 37 percent of NO snaps, taken 27 percent of the carries, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 2 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 31 targets have averaged 0.5 air yards.

In Week 6 against NYG he carried 7 times for 34 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against PIT he carried 6 times for 5 yards, caught 7 of 7 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against CLE he carried 6 times for 32 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Alvin Kamara played 11 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He carried 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 more yards.

That came to 11.9 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 3.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Alvin Kamara holds the bigger snap share, 37 percent against 29 percent.

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger share of the carries, 30 percent against 27 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 8, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaelon Black for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.3 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Kaelon Black?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.3 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Alvin Kamara?Should I drop Kaelon Black?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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