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Should I start Kaelon Black or Drake Maye in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 9:16 PM ET.

Start Drake Maye: 93 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Kaelon Black's 31 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Kaelon Black for Drake Maye?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Drake Maye projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 7 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games).

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Your next move

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB19 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
54

QB3 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 4-5

Market-based projection
19.4 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size310 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 54th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drake Maye, and the board ranks him 55th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 7.8 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Drake Maye's market-based projection is 19.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 8th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Kaelon Black's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Drake Maye has been on the field for 96 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 318 times and thrown 9.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 47 of 318 dropbacks and scrambled 27 times.

In Week 7 against CHI he completed 24 of 30 passes for 321 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 26 yards.

In Week 8 against MIA he completed 16 of 20 passes for 199 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 7 yards.

In Week 9 against GB he completed 21 of 38 passes for 299 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and ran 1 time for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Drake Maye played 17 games and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He threw for 4394 yards on 492 attempts with 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

That came to 28.9 attempts a game at 8.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

Kaelon Black is a running back and Drake Maye a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Kaelon Black is off in Week 8 and Drake Maye in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kaelon Black has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaelon Black for Drake Maye?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Drake Maye projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 7 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Drake Maye for Kaelon Black?

    No. Keep Drake Maye: he projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 7 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Kaelon Black?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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