Should I start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Jaylen Warren in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Amon-Ra St. Brown's market-based projection is 20.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 5th highest figure of the 215 players with a market-based projection.

Jaylen Warren's market-based projection is 17.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 215 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Amon-Ra St. Brown, and the board ranks him 7th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 11.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylen Warren, and the board ranks him 8th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been on the field for 88 percent of DET snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 5 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 57 targets have averaged 8.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against NYJ he caught 4 of 8 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against CAR he caught 8 of 11 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against ARI he caught 6 of 11 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Jaylen Warren has been on the field for 76 percent of PIT snaps, taken 69 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 1 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against CLE he carried 17 times for 93 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 15 times for 101 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 14 times for 50 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets.

That came to 10.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 12.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylen Warren played 16 games and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He carried 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 more yards.

That came to 13.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 2-3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Jaylen Warren 13.6, 5.5 a game between them.

Amon-Ra St. Brown finished WR3 and Jaylen Warren RB17, which are two different ladders.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is a wide receiver and Jaylen Warren a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Amon-Ra St. Brown is off in Week 6 and Jaylen Warren in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.