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Should I start Luther Burden III or Antonio Williams in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 6:31 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Luther Burden III: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Antonio Williams: 78 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Luther Burden III's 58 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR · CHI · on bye this week

2026 vs anytime td line 4-5

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
243

WR · WAS · bye 7

Overall rank
245

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 243rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Antonio Williams, and the board ranks him 245th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Luther Burden III, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

No season market is posted for Antonio Williams, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

Neither carries a posted market, so this page rests on the draft room and on what the two have already done.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 58 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 28 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 6.1 air yards.

In Week 7 against NE he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 130 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against SEA he caught 7 of 9 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against TB he caught 7 of 9 targets for 97 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Antonio Williams has been on the field for 61 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 10.9 air yards.

In Week 6 against SF he caught 3 of 4 targets for 50 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PHI he caught 5 of 7 targets for 54 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAR he caught 3 of 6 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Antonio Williams is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Antonio Williams holds the bigger snap share, 61 percent against 58 percent.

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Antonio Williams in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Luther Burden III is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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