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Should I start Kaelon Black or Austin Ekeler in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 1:31 AM ET.

Week 10 verdict

Start

RB · SF · at DAL

Market projects
7.4
fantasy pts
DAL D vs RB
26.4
4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at RB
Snap share
29%
Through Week 9
Target share
3%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · WAS · at NYG

Market projects
6.6
fantasy pts
NYG D vs RB
19.1
7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
42 of 100 at RB
Snap share
25%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Start Black or Ekeler? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Kaelon Black: 31 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Austin Ekeler's 29 percent of the snaps and 28 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Your next move

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB25 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
71

RB28 · WAS · bye 7

Market-based projection
6.5 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size313 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Austin Ekeler, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 7.4 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Austin Ekeler's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 92nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Kaelon Black's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Austin Ekeler has been on the field for 25 percent of WAS snaps, taken 21 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have come 3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against SF he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PHI he carried 8 times for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAR he carried 8 times for 16 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Austin Ekeler played 2 games and scored 13.1 PPR points, 6.6 a game, finishing RB103.

He carried 14 times for 43 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 5 of 7 targets for 38 more yards.

That came to 7.0 carries a game at 3.1 yards a carry and 2-3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger snap share, 29 percent against 25 percent.

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger share of the carries, 30 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Kaelon Black is off in Week 8 and Austin Ekeler in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kaelon Black has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Kaelon Black?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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