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Start Kaelon Black or Austin Ekeler? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 7:21 PM ET.

Start

RB · SF · at DAL

Market projects
7.4
fantasy pts
DAL D vs RB
26.4
4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at RB
Snap share
29%
Through Week 9
Target share
3%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · WAS · at NYG

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
NYG D vs RB
19.1
7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
42 of 100 at RB
Snap share
25%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Kaelon Black over Austin Ekeler in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Kaelon Black at 7.4 points and Austin Ekeler at 6.5, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kaelon Black's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Kaelon Black is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.4 fantasy points for Kaelon Black, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 34 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (10 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Austin Ekeler, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Austin Ekeler is 28 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (14, 13, 14 and 13 market sources).

That puts Kaelon Black 0.8 points ahead of Austin Ekeler on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Kaelon Black and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DAL allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL and caught passes for 29 more yards.

Austin Ekeler and WAS visit NYG on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NYG allowed 19.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 92 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against NYG and caught passes for 21 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kaelon Black has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kaelon Black is not on the injury report.

Austin Ekeler is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black played 29 percent of SF snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaelon Black, Week 5 against SEA: 11 of 60 snaps, 6 carries for 16 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaelon Black, Week 6 against WAS: 14 of 62 snaps, 8 carries for 34 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Kaelon Black, Week 7 against ATL: 31 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 63 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for -4 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kaelon Black, Week 9 against LV: 18 of 73 snaps, 11 carries for 70 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Austin Ekeler played 25 percent of WAS snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Austin Ekeler, Week 5 against NYG: 6 of 62 snaps, 3 carries for -1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Austin Ekeler, Week 6 against SF: 7 of 67 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.

Austin Ekeler, Week 8 against PHI: 20 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 36 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Austin Ekeler, Week 9 against LAR: 28 of 62 snaps, 8 carries for 16 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Austin Ekeler played 2 games for WAS and scored 13.1 PPR points, 6.6 a game, finishing RB103.

He ran 14 times for 43 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 5 of 7 targets for 38 yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Should I drop Kaelon Black?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board