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Should I start Baker Mayfield or Chase Brown in Week 8?

Updated Oct 28, 5:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Barring setbacks, Bucs QB Baker Mayfield expected to start vs. Panthers (ESPN)

Start Baker Mayfield: 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Chase Brown's 72 percent of the snaps and 52 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Chase Brown?

Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games) and Chase Brown 147 (14.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Baker Mayfield

QB12 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-3

Overall rank
87

Chase Brown

RB31 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-4

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
91

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The gap

  • Board size295 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 87th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 16.4 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 6 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Chase Brown is 3.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 11 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Baker Mayfield's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 129 times and thrown 8.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 129 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 2 against CLE he completed 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 29 yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 7 against CAR he completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 7, Chase Brown has been on the field for 71 percent of CIN snaps, taken 63 percent of the carries, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 4 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 33 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against JAX he carried 9 times for 10 yards, caught 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIA he carried 13 times for 39 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 they scored the same 16.6 PPR points a game.

Baker Mayfield finished QB12 and Chase Brown RB7, which are two different ladders.

Baker Mayfield is a quarterback and Chase Brown a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and Chase Brown in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Chase Brown?

    Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games) and Chase Brown 147 (14.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

  • Should I drop Chase Brown for Baker Mayfield?

    Not on these numbers alone. Chase Brown projects 147 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 10 games) and Baker Mayfield 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

Should I drop Chase Brown?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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