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Should I start Keon Coleman or Baker Mayfield in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 1:31 PM ET.

Start Baker Mayfield: 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Keon Coleman's 78 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Keon Coleman for Baker Mayfield?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 8 games), Keon Coleman 62 (6.9 a game over 9 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR40 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 3-4

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

QB20 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-4

Overall rank
113

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The gap

  • Board size308 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keon Coleman, and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

The market-based projections

Keon Coleman's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 108th highest figure of the 223 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 15.7 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Baker Mayfield's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Keon Coleman has been on the field for 70 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 1 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 15.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 4 of 6 targets for 59 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 1 of 3 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 97 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and thrown 8.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 134 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 7 against CAR he completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against ATL he completed 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Keon Coleman played 13 games and scored 102.4 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR60.

He caught 38 of 59 targets for 404 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 4-5 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 10.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield was available for 4 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Keon Coleman 7.9, 8.8 a game between them.

Keon Coleman finished WR60 and Baker Mayfield QB12, which are two different ladders.

Keon Coleman is a wide receiver and Baker Mayfield a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Keon Coleman is off in Week 7 and Baker Mayfield in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Baker Mayfield has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keon Coleman for Baker Mayfield?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 8 games), Keon Coleman 62 (6.9 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Keon Coleman?

    No. Keep Baker Mayfield: he projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 8 games), Keon Coleman 62 (6.9 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Keon Coleman?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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