Should I start Chase Brown or Breece Hall in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 32nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Breece Hall's market-based projection is 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 40th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Breece Hall, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Chase Brown has been on the field for 70 percent of CIN snaps, taken 60 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 5 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ATL he carried 9 times for 57 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Breece Hall has been on the field for 54 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 4 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 16 times for 29 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DET he carried 13 times for 32 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against KC he carried 15 times for 61 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chase Brown was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Breece Hall 13.0, 3.6 a game between them.

Chase Brown finished RB7 that year and Breece Hall RB19.

Breece Hall had 11 more carries than Chase Brown, 243 to 232.

Chase Brown had 33 more catches than Breece Hall, 69 to 36.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger snap share, 70 percent against 54 percent.

This season Breece Hall holds the bigger share of the carries, 62 percent against 60 percent.

Byes and availability

Chase Brown is off in Week 6 and Breece Hall in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.