Breece Hall or Trey McBride: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Breece Hall at 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 38th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Trey McBride at 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 18 books. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room has them

Drafters have formed no consensus on Breece Hall: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 18th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

Trey McBride goes at ADP 4, an average pick of 29.8, and the board has him TE1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 13 and his latest 41, a standard deviation of 6.4 picks.

He appears in 940 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

Over 14 days his average pick has not moved a full pick either way.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 65.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Breece Hall has been on the field for 58 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 61 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 57 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets, had 2 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 1.5 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he carried 22 times for 102 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 16 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Trey McBride has been on the field for 80 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 35 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 1 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 6.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against LAC he caught 9 of 13 targets for 95 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trey McBride played 17 games and scored 315.9 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing TE1.

He caught 126 of 169 targets for 1239 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 32 red zone targets.

That came to 9.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trey McBride was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Trey McBride scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Breece Hall 13.0, 5.6 a game between them.

Breece Hall finished RB19 and Trey McBride TE1, which are two different ladders.

Breece Hall is a running back and Trey McBride a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Breece Hall is off in Week 13 and Trey McBride in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.