Should I start Zay Flowers or Brenton Strange in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Zay Flowers's market-based projection is 9.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 39th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Brenton Strange's market-based projection is 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brenton Strange, and the board ranks him 32nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 67 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 58 targets have averaged 8.2 air yards.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 137 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BUF he caught 0 of 5 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Brenton Strange has been on the field for 75 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 7.9 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 7 of 8 targets for 68 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 5 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brenton Strange played 12 games and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Brenton Strange 9.8, 4.5 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 and Brenton Strange TE23, which are two different ladders.

Zay Flowers is a wide receiver and Brenton Strange a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and Brenton Strange in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.