Should I start Brock Purdy or Dalton Kincaid in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Brock Purdy's market-based projection is 19.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 11th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 9.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 57th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brock Purdy, and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 55th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Brock Purdy has been on the field for 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 261 times and thrown 8.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 29 of 261 dropbacks and scrambled 19 times.

In Week 6 against WAS he completed 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 28 yards.

In Week 7 against ATL he completed 27 of 39 passes for 288 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

In Week 9 against LV he completed 17 of 25 passes for 232 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 40 yards.

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 0 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 38 targets have averaged 9.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he caught 4 of 6 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against MIN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brock Purdy played 9 games and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He threw for 2167 yards on 284 attempts with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 31.6 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Kincaid was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brock Purdy scored 20.8 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 10.3 a game between them.

Brock Purdy finished QB24 and Dalton Kincaid TE20, which are two different ladders.

Brock Purdy is a quarterback and Dalton Kincaid a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Brock Purdy is off in Week 8 and Dalton Kincaid in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

9.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.