Should I start Brock Purdy or Dylan Sampson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Brock Purdy's market-based projection is 19.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 11th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Dylan Sampson's market-based projection is 8.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brock Purdy, and the board ranks him 59th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dylan Sampson, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Brock Purdy has been on the field for 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 261 times and thrown 8.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 29 of 261 dropbacks and scrambled 19 times.

In Week 6 against WAS he completed 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 28 yards.

In Week 7 against ATL he completed 27 of 39 passes for 288 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

In Week 9 against LV he completed 17 of 25 passes for 232 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 40 yards.

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson has been on the field for 55 percent of CLE snaps, taken 20 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against TEN he carried 6 times for 45 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PIT he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 6 of 8 targets for 62 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NO he carried 8 times for 21 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brock Purdy played 9 games and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He threw for 2167 yards on 284 attempts with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 31.6 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dylan Sampson played 15 games and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He carried 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 more yards.

That came to 4.3 carries a game at 2.7 yards a carry and 2.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dylan Sampson was available for 6 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brock Purdy scored 20.8 PPR points a game and Dylan Sampson 5.8, 15.0 a game between them.

Brock Purdy finished QB24 and Dylan Sampson RB55, which are two different ladders.

Brock Purdy is a quarterback and Dylan Sampson a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Brock Purdy is off in Week 8 and Dylan Sampson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

10.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.