Should I start Travis Kelce or Dylan Sampson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Travis Kelce's market-based projection is 11.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 58th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Dylan Sampson's market-based projection is 8.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Travis Kelce, and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dylan Sampson, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Travis Kelce has been on the field for 77 percent of KC snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 1 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 6.7 air yards.

In Week 7 against SEA he caught 4 of 8 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 5 of 7 targets for 67 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 72 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson has been on the field for 55 percent of CLE snaps, taken 20 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against TEN he carried 6 times for 45 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PIT he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 6 of 8 targets for 62 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NO he carried 8 times for 21 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Travis Kelce played 17 games and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.4 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dylan Sampson played 15 games and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He carried 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 more yards.

That came to 4.3 carries a game at 2.7 yards a carry and 2.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Travis Kelce was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Travis Kelce scored 11.4 PPR points a game and Dylan Sampson 5.8, 5.5 a game between them.

Travis Kelce finished TE3 and Dylan Sampson RB55, which are two different ladders.

Travis Kelce is a tight end and Dylan Sampson a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Travis Kelce is off in Week 5 and Dylan Sampson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.