Should I start Courtland Sutton or Caleb Douglas in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Courtland Sutton's market-based projection is 9.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Courtland Sutton, and the board ranks him 49th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Courtland Sutton has been on the field for 77 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 2 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 11.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against SEA he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ARI he caught 3 of 5 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against KC he caught 4 of 4 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Courtland Sutton played 17 games and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 7.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 77 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Courtland Sutton is off in Week 10 and Caleb Douglas in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.